Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.000592 0.000680 0.000774 0.000882 0.001001 0.001127 0.001273
2025-04-20 0.000469 0.000593 0.000735 0.000908 0.001112 0.001342 0.001620
2025-04-27 0.000399 0.000540 0.000708 0.000922 0.001183 0.001489 0.001871
2025-05-04 0.000336 0.000483 0.000668 0.000911 0.001219 0.001590 0.002067
2025-05-11 0.000283 0.000432 0.000626 0.000891 0.001236 0.001664 0.002226
2025-05-18 0.000252 0.000405 0.000612 0.000903 0.001292 0.001785 0.002444
2025-05-25 0.000224 0.000379 0.000595 0.000908 0.001336 0.001889 0.002643
2025-06-01 0.000190 0.000339 0.000555 0.000877 0.001329 0.001926 0.002753
2025-06-08 0.000161 0.000304 0.000519 0.000848 0.001322 0.001959 0.002857
2025-06-15 0.000144 0.000284 0.000502 0.000846 0.001350 0.002039 0.003025
2025-06-22 0.000129 0.000267 0.000488 0.000845 0.001380 0.002122 0.003196
2025-06-29 0.000114 0.000248 0.000470 0.000836 0.001396 0.002184 0.003340
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000228 0.000448 0.000821 0.001402 0.002234 0.003470
2025-07-13 0.000092 0.000222 0.000449 0.000842 0.001464 0.002363 0.003713
2025-07-20 0.000085 0.000214 0.000446 0.000856 0.001514 0.002477 0.003936
2025-07-27 0.000075 0.000199 0.000430 0.000846 0.001525 0.002535 0.004080
2025-08-03 0.000065 0.000182 0.000409 0.000827 0.001522 0.002569 0.004191
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000176 0.000406 0.000838 0.001567 0.002677 0.004410
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000168 0.000399 0.000842 0.001601 0.002768 0.004605
2025-08-24 0.000046 0.000152 0.000374 0.000813 0.001578 0.002771 0.004671
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000137 0.000352 0.000786 0.001557 0.002776 0.004738
2025-09-07 0.000035 0.000129 0.000343 0.000784 0.001578 0.002846 0.004903
2025-09-14 0.000032 0.000123 0.000336 0.000784 0.001601 0.002920 0.005076